Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | VT +122 CLEM -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -1.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -1.1 (+13.9) | 142.3 (+16.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.1 (+15.1) | 139.7 (+19.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -0.0 (+15.0) | 142.4 (+16.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -0.5 (+14.5) | 144.4 (+14.6) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | VT 76 – 66 CLEM |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CLEM 65 – 47 VT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 57 VT |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
| Jan 5, 2023 | CLEM 68 – 65 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#65) | 13.4 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#72) | 2.90 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#71) | 3.56 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#71) | 0.660 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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