Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -410 VT +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +10 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -8.2 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -8.2 (-18.2) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -10.8 (-20.8) | 139.0 (+3.0) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -8.0 (-18.0) | 136.1 (+5.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -8.2 (-18.2) | 137.3 (+4.7) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | CLEM 65 – 47 VT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 57 VT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | VT 87 – 72 CLEM |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
| Jan 5, 2023 | CLEM 68 – 65 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#32) | 10.5 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#23) | 1.95 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#26) | 2.61 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#27) | 0.586 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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