Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | VT +290 CLEM -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +15 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -9.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -7.7 (-7.3) | 134.7 (-5.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -8.1 (-6.9) | 137.2 (-8.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -8.3 (-6.7) | 137.2 (-8.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -9.5 (-5.5) | 135.9 (-6.9) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | VT 76 – 66 CLEM |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CLEM 65 – 47 VT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | VT 87 – 72 CLEM |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
| Jan 5, 2023 | CLEM 68 – 65 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 8-9 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#160) | 13.4 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#195) | 2.73 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | 3.32 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#216) | 0.622 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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