Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -4000 VT +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +18 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -18.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (-27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -17.8 (+0.2) | 138.7 (-26.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -15.0 (+3.0) | 139.0 (-27.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -17.5 (+0.5) | 140.1 (-28.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -17.8 (+0.2) | 141.1 (-29.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | VT 76 – 66 CLEM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CLEM 72 – 57 VT |
| Jan 11, 2024 | VT 87 – 72 CLEM |
| Jan 21, 2023 | CLEM 51 – 50 VT |
| Jan 5, 2023 | CLEM 68 – 65 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-9 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#27) | 0.9 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#16) | 0.29 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#18) | 0.18 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#13) | 0.495 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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