Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Clemson Tigers
51 – 50
FINAL Conference
Virginia Tech Hokies
Atlantic Coast Conference · Littlejohn Coliseum · January 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CLEM -1.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money CLEM -111 / VT -115
Model Predictions
Spread Total CLEM win
Actual CLEM +1 101 Won
Massey CLEM -2.7 (-1.7) — —
Massey Totals — 145.6 (-44.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CLEM -3.3 (-2.3) 145.6 (-44.6) 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CLEM -3.4 (-2.4) 142.4 (-41.4) 67% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CLEM -3.6 (-2.6) 146.0 (-45.0) 68% ✓
Baseline ML CLEM -3.7 (-2.7) 145.9 (-44.9) 66% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 12, 2026 VT 76 – 66 CLEM
Mar 8, 2025 CLEM 65 – 47 VT
Jan 25, 2025 CLEM 72 – 57 VT
Jan 11, 2024 VT 87 – 72 CLEM
Jan 5, 2023 CLEM 68 – 65 VT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CLEM VT
Overall 23-11 19-15
Conference 14-6 8-12
Home 15-2 13-4
Away 5-6 2-10
Neutral 3-3 4-1
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 74.7 74.1
Avg Pts Against 67.9 70.1
Massey 7.7 (#75) 8.7 (#62)
Bradley-Terry 2.15 (#30) 1.33 (#67)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.61 (#36) 1.87 (#62)
RPI 0.588 (#40) 0.569 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors CLEM VT
FG% 46.8% 46.6%
3PT% 37.4% 34.3%
REB / G 34.9 35.8
OREB / G 7.5 9.2
AST / TO 1.37 1.49
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 53.0%
TOV% 15.8% 14.7%
ORB% 23.5% 27.5%
FT Rate 26.0% 17.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 16.9%
DRB% 74.6% 72.7%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 17.1%

Game Analysis

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