Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MASS +130 SLU -167 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -2.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -0.9 (+8.1) | 144.9 (+26.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -2.0 (+7.0) | 144.6 (+26.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -1.3 (+7.7) | 145.5 (+25.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -1.3 (+7.7) | 146.0 (+25.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | SLU 73 – 71 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MASS 84 – 73 SLU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SLU 90 – 59 MASS |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MASS 91 – 85 SLU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SLU 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#139) | 4.0 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#86) | 1.08 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#102) | 1.43 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#86) | 0.585 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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