Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SLU +180 MASS -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +11 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -7.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -6.7 (-4.3) | 153.3 (+3.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -5.9 (-5.1) | 151.6 (+5.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -7.1 (-3.9) | 152.9 (+4.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -6.8 (-4.2) | 153.8 (+3.2) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | SLU 73 – 71 MASS |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MASS 90 – 81 SLU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SLU 90 – 59 MASS |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MASS 91 – 85 SLU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SLU 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#240) | 7.2 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#172) | 0.58 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#192) | 1.07 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#156) | 0.544 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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