Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -400 MASS +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -5.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -4.3 (+9.7) | 141.1 (+16.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -4.0 (+10.0) | 143.6 (+14.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -3.7 (+10.3) | 144.3 (+13.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -4.0 (+10.0) | 145.7 (+12.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | SLU 73 – 71 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MASS 84 – 73 SLU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MASS 90 – 81 SLU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SLU 90 – 59 MASS |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MASS 91 – 85 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-7 | 8-7 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Home | 12-1 | 4-3 |
| Away | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#35) | 5.5 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#70) | 0.53 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#62) | 1.05 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#89) | 0.517 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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