Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +31 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -11.9 (+19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -11.0 (+20.0) | 147.9 (+1.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -10.5 (+20.5) | 155.6 (-6.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -10.7 (+20.3) | 155.0 (-6.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -11.3 (+19.7) | 151.9 (-2.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | SLU 73 – 71 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MASS 84 – 73 SLU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MASS 90 – 81 SLU |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MASS 91 – 85 SLU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SLU 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#68) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#81) | -0.13 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#90) | -0.07 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#76) | 0.495 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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