Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MASS +100 SLU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -0.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.6 (-3.6) | 148.8 (-4.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.4 (-2.4) | 146.1 (-2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.6 (-2.6) | 147.4 (-3.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.4 (-2.4) | 149.0 (-5.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2024 | MASS 84 – 73 SLU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MASS 90 – 81 SLU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SLU 90 – 59 MASS |
| Jan 21, 2022 | MASS 91 – 85 SLU |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SLU 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#177) | 2.9 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#195) | 0.53 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#190) | 0.80 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#195) | 0.539 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.2% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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