Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +6 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -5.9 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -5.6 (+11.6) | 150.3 (+25.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -6.0 (+12.0) | 152.0 (+24.0) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -6.4 (+12.4) | 151.9 (+24.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -6.0 (+12.0) | 152.0 (+24.0) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | SLU 73 – 71 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MASS 84 – 73 SLU |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MASS 90 – 81 SLU |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SLU 90 – 59 MASS |
| Mar 5, 2021 | SLU 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#184) | 8.8 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | 1.48 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#185) | 1.70 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#186) | 0.572 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 41.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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