Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -500 HCU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -16.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.8 (-35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -14.2 (-2.2) | 157.4 (-27.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -12.6 (-0.6) | 154.1 (-24.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -12.8 (-0.8) | 160.4 (-30.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -14.0 (-2.0) | 157.2 (-27.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SELA 55 – 47 HCU |
| Dec 13, 2025 | SELA 74 – 71 HCU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | SELA 69 – 60 HCU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | HCU 70 – 62 SELA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SELA 81 – 78 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-8 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 85.0 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#256) | -17.1 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#253) | -3.63 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#263) | -4.87 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#291) | 0.375 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 62.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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