Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 119.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -120 CP +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +10 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -3.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -0.6 (+9.4) | 123.5 (-11.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -0.2 (+9.8) | 119.2 (-7.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -0.7 (+9.3) | 122.4 (-10.4) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -1.1 (+8.9) | 123.8 (-11.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 1-18 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#272) | -4.8 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#321) | -0.77 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#305) | -0.95 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#339) | 0.442 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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