Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -188 SAC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -5.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -3.1 (-0.1) | 141.1 (+11.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -4.9 (-1.9) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -3.3 (-0.3) | 143.5 (+9.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -3.0 (+0.0) | 144.6 (+8.4) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | EWU 102 – 94 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | EWU 75 – 67 SAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EWU 83 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#161) | -0.4 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#151) | 0.43 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#159) | 0.28 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#185) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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