That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Big Sky Conference · Reese Court · January 24, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -5.5 Home covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money EWU -258 / SAC +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual EWU +8 142 Won
Massey EWU -6.5 (+1.5)
Massey Totals 168.3 (-26.3)
Bradley-Terry 58%
Weighted B-T 63%
Efficiency Plus ML EWU -5.2 (+2.8) 157.0 (-15.0) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -4.8 (+3.2) 157.2 (-15.2) 69%
Baseline ML EWU -4.7 (+3.3) 154.9 (-12.9) 70%
Baseline Plus ML EWU -4.0 (+4.0) 155.8 (-13.8) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 EWU 10294 SAC
Feb 7, 2025 EWU 8380 SAC
Jan 11, 2025 EWU 6554 SAC
Mar 10, 2024 SAC 7469 EWU
Mar 5, 2024 EWU 9188 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU SAC
Overall 14-19 10-21
Conference 11-7 6-12
Home 8-4 10-4
Away 5-13 0-16
Neutral 1-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.7 75.9
Avg Pts Against 79.2 83.6
Massey -4.2 (#232) -7.5 (#278)
Bradley-Terry -1.55 (#306) -1.31 (#286)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.77 (#286) -1.69 (#279)
RPI 0.417 (#322) 0.424 (#312)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU SAC
FG% 44.9% 39.2%
3PT% 34.1% 29.4%
REB / G 31.4 34.8
OREB / G 10.7 11.8
AST / TO 0.94 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 44.4%
TOV% 18.6% 15.0%
ORB% 30.9% 29.0%
FT Rate 25.0% 29.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.2% 55.9%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 16.7%
DRB% 66.3% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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