Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | EWU -258 SAC +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -6.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.0 (+4.0) | 155.8 (-13.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.2 (+2.8) | 157.0 (-15.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -4.8 (+3.2) | 157.2 (-15.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -4.7 (+3.3) | 154.9 (-12.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | EWU 102 – 94 SAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EWU 83 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | EWU 91 – 88 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 83.6 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#232) | -7.5 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#306) | -1.31 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#286) | -1.69 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#322) | 0.424 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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