I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Eastern Washington Eagles
69 – 74
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Sky
Sacramento State Hornets
Big Sky Conference · Idaho Central Arena (Neutral) · March 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money EWU -1400 / SAC +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total EWU win
Actual SAC +5 143 Lost
Massey EWU -10.8 (-15.8) — —
Massey Totals — 145.2 (-2.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✗
Baseline Plus ML EWU -8.8 (-13.8) 141.2 (+1.8) 79% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -8.2 (-13.2) 140.6 (+2.4) 79% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -9.0 (-14.0) 143.3 (-0.3) 81% ✗
Baseline ML EWU -9.1 (-14.1) 143.6 (-0.6) 80% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 EWU 102 – 94 SAC
Jan 24, 2026 EWU 75 – 67 SAC
Feb 7, 2025 EWU 83 – 80 SAC
Jan 11, 2025 EWU 65 – 54 SAC
Mar 5, 2024 EWU 91 – 88 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings EWU SAC
Overall 21-11 10-24
Conference 15-3 4-14
Home 11-1 6-8
Away 10-9 2-13
Neutral 0-1 2-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.5 64.2
Avg Pts Against 77.6 71.3
Massey 1.5 (#141) -9.3 (#316)
Bradley-Terry 0.82 (#109) -1.62 (#315)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.73 (#123) -2.08 (#318)
RPI 0.543 (#103) 0.418 (#324)
Shooting & Four Factors EWU SAC
FG% 49.8% 42.0%
3PT% 37.3% 32.0%
REB / G 33.3 34.1
OREB / G 7.9 11.2
AST / TO 1.26 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.5% 48.6%
TOV% 19.0% 23.4%
ORB% 26.4% 34.5%
FT Rate 30.0% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 15.2%
DRB% 73.2% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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