Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +136 EWU -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +8 | 196 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -0.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -0.6 (-7.4) | 159.3 (+36.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -0.4 (-7.6) | 161.0 (+35.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -0.6 (-7.4) | 158.7 (+37.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -0.3 (-7.7) | 159.8 (+36.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | EWU 75 – 67 SAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EWU 83 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | EWU 91 – 88 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 0-16 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#263) | -2.2 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#267) | -0.89 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#256) | -0.96 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#300) | 0.447 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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