Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -320 SAC +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -10.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -8.9 (-5.9) | 134.1 (+28.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -9.1 (-6.1) | 132.8 (+30.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -8.5 (-5.5) | 133.8 (+29.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -8.9 (-5.9) | 133.7 (+29.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | EWU 102 – 94 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | EWU 75 – 67 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | EWU 91 – 88 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-11 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#241) | -12.2 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#303) | -2.50 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#288) | -3.42 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#328) | 0.370 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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