Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SAC +155 / EWU -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual EWU +11 119 Lost
Massey EWU -2.3 (-8.7)
Massey Totals 134.6 (-15.6)
Bradley-Terry 43%
Weighted B-T 22%
Efficiency Plus ML EWU -3.8 (-7.2) 130.7 (-11.7) 29%
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -3.2 (-7.8) 131.1 (-12.1) 35%
Baseline ML EWU -2.9 (-8.1) 132.1 (-13.1) 35%
Baseline Plus ML EWU -4.1 (-6.9) 132.4 (-13.4) 34%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 EWU 10294 SAC
Jan 24, 2026 EWU 7567 SAC
Feb 7, 2025 EWU 8380 SAC
Mar 10, 2024 SAC 7469 EWU
Mar 5, 2024 EWU 9188 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC EWU
Overall 7-25 10-22
Conference 3-15 6-12
Home 5-11 8-6
Away 2-13 2-14
Neutral 0-1 0-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L5 L6
Avg Pts For 63.3 69.6
Avg Pts Against 73.4 76.3
Massey -11.3 (#336) -5.0 (#253)
Bradley-Terry -2.39 (#339) -1.35 (#290)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.55 (#349) -1.42 (#276)
RPI 0.369 (#352) 0.411 (#325)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC EWU
FG% 39.4% 45.0%
3PT% 30.4% 30.5%
REB / G 33.4 30.4
OREB / G 9.8 9.4
AST / TO 0.81 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 50.6%
TOV% 21.6% 18.9%
ORB% 27.7% 28.4%
FT Rate 23.7% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 56.7%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 20.0%
DRB% 72.1% 65.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 27.7%

Game Analysis

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