And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
Big Sky Conference · The Nest · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread EWU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SAC +155 / EWU -185
Model Predictions
Spread Total SAC win
Actual EWU +11 119 Lost
Massey EWU -2.3 (-8.7) — —
Massey Totals — 134.6 (-15.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 43% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 22% ✓
Baseline Plus ML EWU -4.1 (-6.9) 132.4 (-13.4) 34% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ EWU -3.8 (-7.2) 130.7 (-11.7) 29% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML EWU -3.2 (-7.8) 131.1 (-12.1) 35% ✓
Baseline ML EWU -2.9 (-8.1) 132.1 (-13.1) 35% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 EWU 102 – 94 SAC
Jan 24, 2026 EWU 75 – 67 SAC
Feb 7, 2025 EWU 83 – 80 SAC
Mar 10, 2024 SAC 74 – 69 EWU
Mar 5, 2024 EWU 91 – 88 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SAC EWU
Overall 7-25 10-22
Conference 3-15 6-12
Home 5-11 8-6
Away 2-13 2-14
Neutral 0-1 0-2
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L5 L6
Avg Pts For 63.3 69.6
Avg Pts Against 73.4 76.3
Massey -11.3 (#336) -5.0 (#253)
Bradley-Terry -2.39 (#339) -1.35 (#290)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.55 (#349) -1.42 (#276)
RPI 0.369 (#352) 0.411 (#325)
Shooting & Four Factors SAC EWU
FG% 39.4% 45.0%
3PT% 30.4% 30.5%
REB / G 33.4 30.4
OREB / G 9.8 9.4
AST / TO 0.81 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.5% 50.6%
TOV% 21.6% 18.9%
ORB% 27.7% 28.4%
FT Rate 23.7% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 56.7%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 20.0%
DRB% 72.1% 65.5%
Opp FT Rate 27.6% 27.7%

Game Analysis

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