Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +280 EWU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -7.8 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+34.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -7.4 (+4.4) | 142.2 (+36.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -7.3 (+4.3) | 142.7 (+36.3) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -7.2 (+4.2) | 143.9 (+35.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -6.6 (+3.6) | 143.2 (+35.8) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | EWU 102 – 94 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | EWU 75 – 67 SAC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | EWU 83 – 80 SAC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | EWU 65 – 54 SAC |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SAC 74 – 69 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-24 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#320) | 1.6 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#313) | 0.81 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#316) | 0.72 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#322) | 0.541 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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