Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | COR -150 PRIN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -3.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -3.1 (-10.1) | 150.9 (-7.9) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.5 (-9.5) | 150.2 (-7.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.2 (-10.2) | 150.5 (-7.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.3 (-10.3) | 151.1 (-8.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#108) | 4.6 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#86) | 0.28 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#88) | 0.48 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#131) | 0.505 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 79.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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