Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | LT -275 UTEP +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | LT -8.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -5.9 (-3.9) | 141.3 (-23.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -6.4 (-4.4) | 139.5 (-21.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -5.1 (-3.1) | 139.1 (-21.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -4.9 (-2.9) | 139.0 (-21.0) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | LT 69 – 59 UTEP |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LT 75 – 63 UTEP |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LT 76 – 58 UTEP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UTEP 70 – 60 LT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | LT 65 – 59 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#136) | -2.0 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#171) | -0.01 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#148) | -0.01 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#162) | 0.480 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 25.4% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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