Betting Lines
| Spread | COPP -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | COPP -275 SCST +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +12 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | COPP -9.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 176.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COPP -5.3 (+6.7) | 165.0 (-7.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COPP -5.0 (+7.0) | 160.3 (-2.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COPP -7.0 (+5.0) | 163.7 (-5.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COPP -6.9 (+5.1) | 164.8 (-6.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | COPP 59 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 13, 2026 | SCST 74 – 72 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SCST 68 – 63 COPP |
| Feb 18, 2025 | SCST 87 – 57 COPP |
| Jan 7, 2025 | SCST 85 – 77 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 2-12 |
| Home | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 5-16 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 84.7 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#301) | -12.8 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#238) | -1.41 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#235) | -2.19 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#207) | 0.431 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 63.5% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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