Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -175 DETM +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +5 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -3.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.8 (+4.2) | 152.7 (+22.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -0.9 (+4.1) | 152.3 (+22.7) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -1.7 (+3.3) | 153.6 (+21.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -0.9 (+4.1) | 153.5 (+21.5) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | WRST 66 – 63 DETM |
| Feb 13, 2026 | DETM 77 – 74 WRST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WRST 84 – 82 DETM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WRST 67 – 50 DETM |
| Dec 7, 2024 | WRST 80 – 72 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#221) | -1.7 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#250) | -0.37 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#244) | -0.07 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#273) | 0.476 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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