Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | STO -150 CCSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +2 | 100 | Won |
| Massey | STO -6.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-40.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -4.2 (-2.2) | 139.3 (-39.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -5.6 (-3.6) | 135.9 (-35.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -4.4 (-2.4) | 139.2 (-39.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -4.4 (-2.4) | 138.4 (-38.4) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | STO 61 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CCSU 76 – 69 STO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CCSU 67 – 41 STO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 63 STO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CCSU 79 – 67 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#296) | -8.9 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#291) | -2.66 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#294) | -3.14 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#231) | 0.372 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 17.1% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.