Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -360 STO +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -10.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -9.0 (-2.0) | 133.7 (+11.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -8.3 (-1.3) | 133.7 (+11.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -8.8 (-1.8) | 133.5 (+11.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -9.0 (-2.0) | 134.1 (+10.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | STO 61 – 59 CCSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CCSU 67 – 41 STO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 63 STO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CCSU 79 – 67 STO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | CCSU 74 – 59 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#243) | -12.1 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#221) | -3.06 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#239) | -3.92 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#205) | 0.368 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 12.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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