Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | STO +250 CCSU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +15 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -5.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -5.7 (-9.3) | 138.7 (-5.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -5.3 (-9.7) | 139.0 (-6.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -5.0 (-10.0) | 136.3 (-3.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -5.4 (-9.6) | 137.9 (-4.9) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | STO 61 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CCSU 76 – 69 STO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CCSU 67 – 41 STO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 63 STO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CCSU 79 – 67 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 0-19 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#347) | -3.3 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#334) | -0.72 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.03 (#334) | -1.15 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#303) | 0.460 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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