Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -110 NICH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +20 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -4.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-31.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -3.5 (+16.5) | 146.2 (-30.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -2.3 (+17.7) | 144.3 (-28.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -2.5 (+17.5) | 145.0 (-29.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -2.9 (+17.1) | 146.0 (-30.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NICH 61 – 47 NWST |
| Feb 3, 2026 | NICH 61 – 58 NWST |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NICH 74 – 72 NWST |
| Feb 11, 2025 | NWST 72 – 60 NICH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | NWST 68 – 66 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#233) | -3.2 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#141) | -0.17 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#197) | -0.39 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.503 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 63.0% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 38.9% |
Game Analysis
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