Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -800 DEL +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -15.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -13.7 (-2.7) | 150.3 (-11.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -13.0 (-2.0) | 149.5 (-10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -11.6 (-0.6) | 149.0 (-10.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -14.3 (-3.3) | 150.1 (-11.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | COFC 94 – 84 DEL |
| Feb 23, 2024 | COFC 90 – 71 DEL |
| Feb 4, 2023 | COFC 84 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 25, 2022 | COFC 99 – 96 DEL |
| Dec 31, 2021 | DEL 67 – 66 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 8-10 |
| Home | 17-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 11-2 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#69) | -3.4 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#11) | 0.11 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.31 (#18) | -0.11 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#15) | 0.492 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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