With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
Coastal Athletic Association · TD Arena · January 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -15.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money COFC -800 / DEL +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total COFC win
Actual COFC +11 139 Won
Massey COFC -15.4 (-4.4) — —
Massey Totals — 150.7 (-11.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COFC -11.6 (-0.6) 149.0 (-10.0) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COFC -14.3 (-3.3) 150.1 (-11.1) 88% ✓
Baseline ML COFC -13.7 (-2.7) 150.3 (-11.3) 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COFC -13.0 (-2.0) 149.5 (-10.5) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 COFC 94 – 84 DEL
Feb 23, 2024 COFC 90 – 71 DEL
Feb 4, 2023 COFC 84 – 67 DEL
Feb 25, 2022 COFC 99 – 96 DEL
Dec 31, 2021 DEL 67 – 66 COFC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COFC DEL
Overall 31-4 17-16
Conference 16-2 8-10
Home 17-1 10-5
Away 11-2 4-10
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 79.6 69.4
Avg Pts Against 67.2 71.2
Massey 7.6 (#69) -3.4 (#234)
Bradley-Terry 2.99 (#11) 0.11 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.31 (#18) -0.11 (#190)
RPI 0.628 (#15) 0.492 (#196)
Shooting & Four Factors COFC DEL
FG% 44.3% 44.0%
3PT% 33.2% 31.1%
REB / G 39.5 32.5
OREB / G 13.0 8.9
AST / TO 0.94 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 49.9%
TOV% 18.2% 15.7%
ORB% 34.5% 25.5%
FT Rate 23.2% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 52.6%
Opp TOV% 19.0% 17.7%
DRB% 74.1% 71.0%
Opp FT Rate 17.2% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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