Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -5.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.4 (-4.4) | 150.6 (-17.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -3.8 (-4.8) | 153.3 (-20.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -4.0 (-5.0) | 153.8 (-20.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.3 (-4.3) | 151.7 (-18.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | COFC 94 – 84 DEL |
| Feb 23, 2024 | COFC 90 – 71 DEL |
| Feb 4, 2023 | COFC 84 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 7, 2023 | COFC 75 – 64 DEL |
| Feb 25, 2022 | COFC 99 – 96 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#142) | -0.1 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#102) | 0.41 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#135) | 0.75 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#102) | 0.517 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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