Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +3 | 195 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -3.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+42.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -1.9 (-4.9) | 150.6 (+44.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -4.6 (-7.6) | 152.4 (+42.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -3.9 (-6.9) | 154.5 (+40.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.5 (-7.5) | 151.3 (+43.7) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | COFC 94 – 84 DEL |
| Feb 23, 2024 | COFC 90 – 71 DEL |
| Feb 4, 2023 | COFC 84 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 7, 2023 | COFC 75 – 64 DEL |
| Dec 31, 2021 | DEL 67 – 66 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#143) | 0.2 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#117) | 0.15 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#123) | 0.06 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#79) | 0.506 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.