Today Billie Joe McAllister jumped off the Tallahatchee Bridge "Ode to Billie Joe" - Bobbie Gentry
Coastal Athletic Association · Bob Carpenter Center · February 23, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -1.5 Away covered
O/U 155.5 Over
Money DEL +100 / COFC -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total DEL win
Actual COFC +19 161 Lost
Massey DEL -2.1 (-21.1)
Massey Totals 153.2 (+7.8)
Bradley-Terry 46%
Weighted B-T 47%
Baseline ML DEL -1.0 (-20.0) 148.4 (+12.6) 53%
Baseline Plus ML DEL -0.9 (-19.9) 146.9 (+14.1) 54%
Efficiency Plus ML COFC -1.1 (-17.9) 148.0 (+13.0) 45%
Baseline Tuned ML DEL -1.5 (-20.5) 146.2 (+14.8) 57%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2025 COFC 9484 DEL
Feb 4, 2023 COFC 8467 DEL
Jan 7, 2023 COFC 7564 DEL
Feb 25, 2022 COFC 9996 DEL
Dec 31, 2021 DEL 6766 COFC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DEL COFC
Overall 19-14 27-8
Conference 10-8 15-3
Home 8-5 13-2
Away 8-6 10-2
Neutral 3-3 4-4
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.3 80.5
Avg Pts Against 69.7 74.0
Massey 1.6 (#145) 2.8 (#126)
Bradley-Terry 0.17 (#157) 0.97 (#104)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.28 (#153) 1.09 (#110)
RPI 0.512 (#156) 0.549 (#90)
Shooting & Four Factors DEL COFC
FG% 46.6% 43.2%
3PT% 34.4% 33.0%
REB / G 35.0 40.0
OREB / G 9.2 13.3
AST / TO 1.33 1.42
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 51.1%
TOV% 15.6% 14.4%
ORB% 27.8% 33.5%
FT Rate 21.9% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.6% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 15.9%
DRB% 71.8% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 19.8% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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