Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +100 COFC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +19 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -2.1 (-21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (+7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -1.1 (-17.9) | 148.0 (+13.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -1.5 (-20.5) | 146.2 (+14.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -1.0 (-20.0) | 148.4 (+12.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -0.9 (-19.9) | 146.9 (+14.1) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | COFC 94 – 84 DEL |
| Feb 4, 2023 | COFC 84 – 67 DEL |
| Jan 7, 2023 | COFC 75 – 64 DEL |
| Feb 25, 2022 | COFC 99 – 96 DEL |
| Dec 31, 2021 | DEL 67 – 66 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 8-6 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#145) | 2.8 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#157) | 0.97 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#153) | 1.09 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#156) | 0.549 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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