In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
Coastal Athletic Association · TD Arena · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -7.5 Home covered
O/U 159.5 Over
Money COFC -340 / DEL +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total COFC win
Actual COFC +10 178 Won
Massey COFC -8.6 (+1.4) — —
Massey Totals — 164.2 (+13.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 92% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COFC -8.4 (+1.6) 158.4 (+19.6) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COFC -8.6 (+1.4) 158.3 (+19.7) 80% ✓
Baseline ML COFC -7.8 (+2.2) 157.5 (+20.5) 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COFC -8.5 (+1.5) 157.3 (+20.7) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 COFC 90 – 71 DEL
Feb 4, 2023 COFC 84 – 67 DEL
Jan 7, 2023 COFC 75 – 64 DEL
Feb 25, 2022 COFC 99 – 96 DEL
Dec 31, 2021 DEL 67 – 66 COFC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COFC DEL
Overall 24-9 16-20
Conference 13-5 5-13
Home 13-2 8-7
Away 7-5 3-11
Neutral 4-2 5-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.7 76.8
Avg Pts Against 73.9 78.7
Massey 0.3 (#154) -5.2 (#249)
Bradley-Terry 0.85 (#104) -1.04 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.79 (#110) -1.27 (#260)
RPI 0.557 (#72) 0.460 (#261)
Shooting & Four Factors COFC DEL
FG% 44.7% 47.0%
3PT% 34.8% 37.2%
REB / G 35.6 31.0
OREB / G 9.4 7.3
AST / TO 1.34 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 54.4%
TOV% 16.3% 16.9%
ORB% 26.5% 22.4%
FT Rate 24.2% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 16.1%
DRB% 71.0% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 24.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.