Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
Coastal Athletic Association · TD Arena · February 28, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -7.5 Home covered
O/U 159.5 Over
Money COFC -340 / DEL +270
Model Predictions
Spread Total COFC win
Actual COFC +10 178 Won
Massey COFC -8.6 (+1.4)
Massey Totals 164.2 (+13.8)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 94%
Baseline ML COFC -7.8 (+2.2) 157.5 (+20.5) 82%
Baseline Plus ML COFC -8.5 (+1.5) 157.3 (+20.7) 81%
Efficiency Plus ML COFC -8.4 (+1.6) 158.4 (+19.6) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML COFC -8.6 (+1.4) 158.3 (+19.7) 80%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2024 COFC 9071 DEL
Feb 4, 2023 COFC 8467 DEL
Jan 7, 2023 COFC 7564 DEL
Feb 25, 2022 COFC 9996 DEL
Dec 31, 2021 DEL 6766 COFC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COFC DEL
Overall 24-9 16-20
Conference 13-5 5-13
Home 13-2 8-7
Away 7-5 3-11
Neutral 4-2 5-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.7 76.8
Avg Pts Against 73.9 78.7
Massey 0.3 (#154) -5.2 (#249)
Bradley-Terry 0.85 (#104) -1.04 (#266)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.79 (#110) -1.27 (#260)
RPI 0.557 (#72) 0.460 (#261)
Shooting & Four Factors COFC DEL
FG% 44.7% 47.0%
3PT% 34.8% 37.2%
REB / G 35.6 31.0
OREB / G 9.4 7.3
AST / TO 1.34 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 54.4%
TOV% 16.3% 16.9%
ORB% 26.5% 22.4%
FT Rate 24.2% 23.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 16.1%
DRB% 71.0% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.2% 24.0%

Game Analysis

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