Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DEL +225 COFC -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +17 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -6.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -6.7 (-10.3) | 148.8 (+2.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.2 (-11.8) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -5.4 (-11.6) | 148.1 (+2.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -5.8 (-11.2) | 147.8 (+3.2) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2025 | COFC 94 – 84 DEL |
| Feb 23, 2024 | COFC 90 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 7, 2023 | COFC 75 – 64 DEL |
| Feb 25, 2022 | COFC 99 – 96 DEL |
| Dec 31, 2021 | DEL 67 – 66 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 10-5 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-10 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#226) | 7.0 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#212) | 1.98 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#201) | 2.32 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#210) | 0.577 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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