Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN -300 DART +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BRWN -10.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -7.1 (-0.1) | 130.2 (+16.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -7.6 (-0.6) | 130.2 (+16.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -7.1 (-0.1) | 129.8 (+17.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -6.5 (+0.5) | 130.0 (+17.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BRWN 79 – 76 DART |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DART 77 – 70 BRWN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | DART 78 – 58 BRWN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DART 84 – 83 BRWN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BRWN 89 – 67 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#211) | -8.7 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#226) | -2.13 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#230) | -2.83 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#217) | 0.396 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 79.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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