Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -600 MUR +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +18 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -7.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -5.5 (+12.5) | 136.1 (+9.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -5.9 (+12.1) | 135.5 (+10.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -5.2 (+12.8) | 134.7 (+11.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -5.4 (+12.6) | 134.9 (+11.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | DRKE 101 – 90 MUR |
| Dec 19, 2025 | MUR 81 – 72 DRKE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | DRKE 55 – 45 MUR |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MUR 66 – 59 DRKE |
| Feb 18, 2024 | DRKE 95 – 72 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#123) | -0.3 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#91) | 0.20 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#94) | 0.19 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#74) | 0.501 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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