Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -500 MUR +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +23 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -11.1 (+11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -10.4 (+12.6) | 141.6 (+25.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -10.8 (+12.2) | 139.6 (+27.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -10.8 (+12.2) | 141.4 (+25.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -9.9 (+13.1) | 142.2 (+24.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | DRKE 101 – 90 MUR |
| Dec 19, 2025 | MUR 81 – 72 DRKE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | DRKE 55 – 45 MUR |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MUR 66 – 59 DRKE |
| Mar 4, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 62 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#52) | 2.5 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#35) | -0.16 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#39) | 0.28 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#17) | 0.502 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.