Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | DRKE -600 MUR +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +7 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -10.8 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -11.2 (-18.2) | 122.1 (+2.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -9.1 (-16.1) | 130.7 (-5.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -10.8 (-17.8) | 130.9 (-5.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -10.5 (-17.5) | 127.8 (-2.8) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | DRKE 101 – 90 MUR |
| Dec 19, 2025 | MUR 81 – 72 DRKE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | DRKE 55 – 45 MUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | DRKE 95 – 72 MUR |
| Mar 4, 2023 | DRKE 74 – 62 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-1 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.2 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#76) | 1.1 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#26) | -0.35 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#27) | -0.06 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#26) | 0.498 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 38.1% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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