Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | DRKE -550 MUR +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +12 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -10.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -8.6 (+3.4) | 141.1 (-5.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -7.2 (+4.8) | 140.6 (-4.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -8.6 (+3.4) | 141.4 (-5.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -8.7 (+3.3) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | DRKE 101 – 90 MUR |
| Dec 19, 2025 | MUR 81 – 72 DRKE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | DRKE 55 – 45 MUR |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MUR 66 – 59 DRKE |
| Feb 18, 2024 | DRKE 95 – 72 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#80) | -3.1 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#67) | 0.16 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#69) | -0.05 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#59) | 0.506 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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