Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -163 DEN +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +17 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -2.3 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (+14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -1.9 (+15.1) | 146.6 (+18.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -1.8 (+15.2) | 144.8 (+20.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -1.9 (+15.1) | 146.8 (+18.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -1.3 (+15.7) | 147.6 (+17.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | DEN 74 – 44 WIU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DEN 83 – 77 WIU |
| Dec 21, 2021 | WIU 84 – 80 DEN |
| Feb 14, 2021 | WIU 82 – 75 DEN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | WIU 75 – 69 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#284) | -4.2 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#249) | -0.41 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#254) | -0.92 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#279) | 0.451 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 32.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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