Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -360 DEN +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -7.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -6.6 (-12.6) | 154.9 (+5.1) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -6.9 (-12.9) | 152.4 (+7.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -6.4 (-12.4) | 154.0 (+6.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -5.9 (-11.9) | 154.0 (+6.0) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | DEN 74 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WIU 91 – 74 DEN |
| Dec 21, 2021 | WIU 84 – 80 DEN |
| Feb 14, 2021 | WIU 82 – 75 DEN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | WIU 75 – 69 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#230) | -7.7 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#225) | -1.68 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#227) | -1.93 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#241) | 0.422 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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