Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -250 DEN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -8.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -8.3 (-1.3) | 152.4 (+4.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -6.6 (+0.4) | 150.1 (+6.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -8.8 (-1.8) | 151.3 (+5.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -7.7 (-0.7) | 153.0 (+4.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | DEN 74 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WIU 91 – 74 DEN |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DEN 83 – 77 WIU |
| Dec 21, 2021 | WIU 84 – 80 DEN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | WIU 75 – 69 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 2-19 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 1-13 |
| Home | 2-5 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#299) | -14.8 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#321) | -3.73 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#319) | -4.63 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#334) | 0.333 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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