Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | WIU -225 DEN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -8.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -8.7 (-2.7) | 155.3 (-11.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -7.3 (-1.3) | 150.9 (-6.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -8.2 (-2.2) | 154.2 (-10.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -7.8 (-1.8) | 156.5 (-12.5) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | DEN 74 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WIU 91 – 74 DEN |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DEN 83 – 77 WIU |
| Dec 21, 2021 | WIU 84 – 80 DEN |
| Feb 14, 2021 | WIU 82 – 75 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-15 | 2-19 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 1-13 |
| Home | 2-5 | 2-10 |
| Away | 4-9 | 0-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#294) | -15.1 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#320) | -3.72 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.68 (#317) | -4.65 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#327) | 0.340 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 56.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.6% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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