Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DEN +110 WIU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEN +30 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | DEN -0.5 (+29.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -0.4 (+30.4) | 148.8 (-30.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.4 (+30.4) | 146.2 (-28.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -0.3 (+30.3) | 147.2 (-29.2) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -0.4 (+30.4) | 149.6 (-31.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2023 | WIU 91 – 74 DEN |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DEN 83 – 77 WIU |
| Dec 21, 2021 | WIU 84 – 80 DEN |
| Feb 14, 2021 | WIU 82 – 75 DEN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | WIU 75 – 69 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#295) | -4.0 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#253) | -0.02 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#273) | -0.25 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#288) | 0.494 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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