Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
| Money | DEN +310 WIU -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -5.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -4.9 (+0.9) | 145.6 (+18.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -5.5 (+1.5) | 143.4 (+20.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -5.2 (+1.2) | 143.8 (+20.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -5.2 (+1.2) | 145.8 (+18.2) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2023 | DEN 74 – 44 WIU |
| Jan 7, 2023 | WIU 91 – 74 DEN |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DEN 83 – 77 WIU |
| Feb 14, 2021 | WIU 82 – 75 DEN |
| Feb 13, 2021 | WIU 75 – 69 DEN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#265) | 4.0 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#274) | 1.05 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#267) | 1.01 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#285) | 0.514 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEN | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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