Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -450 CLT +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -11.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -9.5 (-5.5) | 132.7 (+5.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -9.6 (-5.6) | 132.2 (+5.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -10.5 (-6.5) | 132.1 (+5.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -9.4 (-5.4) | 133.1 (+4.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 9-11 |
| Home | 17-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#21) | 5.3 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#13) | 1.00 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#19) | 1.19 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#13) | 0.550 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.