Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +200 FAU -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -5.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -7.1 (-3.9) | 156.1 (-17.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -5.7 (-5.3) | 155.6 (-16.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -5.7 (-5.3) | 156.3 (-17.3) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -4.9 (-6.1) | 158.2 (-19.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | FAU 67 – 52 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#254) | 4.4 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#264) | 0.73 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#261) | 1.31 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#241) | 0.572 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 36.6% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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