Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -305 CLT +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -7.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -7.2 (-6.2) | 145.8 (+7.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -6.7 (-5.7) | 146.1 (+6.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -6.5 (-5.5) | 146.6 (+6.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -7.3 (-6.3) | 146.4 (+6.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | FAU 67 – 52 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#113) | -0.8 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#135) | -0.10 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#118) | -0.33 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#105) | 0.498 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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