Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -750 CLT +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -9.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -9.5 (-4.5) | 146.0 (-23.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -8.7 (-3.7) | 144.8 (-21.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -8.8 (-3.8) | 145.3 (-22.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -8.5 (-3.5) | 146.7 (-23.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2025 | FAU 87 – 75 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | FAU 67 – 52 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#104) | -5.2 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#126) | -1.08 (#269) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#123) | -1.22 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#113) | 0.443 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.