Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -1200 CLT +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +12 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -12.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -13.1 (-1.1) | 153.5 (+8.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -11.5 (+0.5) | 152.4 (+9.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -12.0 (+0.0) | 151.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -12.2 (-0.2) | 153.3 (+8.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | FAU 77 – 76 CLT |
| Mar 13, 2025 | FAU 64 – 59 CLT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FAU 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 6, 2024 | CLT 70 – 68 FAU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | FAU 67 – 52 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#103) | -5.2 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#128) | -1.02 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#112) | -1.17 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#96) | 0.446 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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